UFC Fight Night Holm vs Viera: Underdog of the week

Here we pick our underdog of the week for the upcoming UFC fight night Holm vs Viera. This is where we show you who we tip to upset the odds this week so you can be in the know and cash your ticket. This weeks underdog is Parker Porter in his upcoming bout against Jailton Almeida, and here’s why….
Jailton Almeida | Parker Porter |
1/7 | 4/1 |
By decision: 4/1 | By decision: 13/1 |
By KO/TKO: 3/1 | By KO/TKO: 8/1 |
By Submission: EVS | By Submission: 18/1 |
Underdog Value:
The odds on this fight clearly show Jailton Almeida as a huge favourite, and on the face of the matter it is easy too see why. Almeida is jacked physical specimen who has been running through opponents with ease, whereas on the other hand Parker Porter… well too put it mildly a slightly flabby middling Heavyweight. Where you have to be careful with this however is judging the fight on appearance only. Delving a little deeper into it, there are some red flags that crop up.

Firstly this fight is taking place at Heavyweight, Almeida is seen as a top prospect at Light heavyweight but is stepping up in weight to take a one off fight. Porter on the other hand is a big heavyweight, generally weighing in just under the limit of 265 pounds. Almeida is an unknown quantity, and we do not have any idea whether he will be able to take someone as big as Porter down. We have seen him run through low level guys at Light heavyweight, but now he is facing a big experienced heavyweight. We also do not know how his cardio will hold up at heavyweight. Almeida hasn’t been past the first minute of the second round in 4 years, and the one time he did he lost.
Porter on the other hand is a big heavyweight who has good cardio and likes to push a pace. He has quietly built a 3 fight winning streak since his fight against Daukas, and for a big guy he is very active on the feet and throws a lot of strikes. He is not the biggest puncher but he outworks and tires his opponents out, a strategy that could definitely work against a guy like Almeida who has unproven cardio coming up against a big guy. Ultimately, at this price tag there are too many unknowns on Almeida to warrant a bet on him. I really like Porter to tire him out after the 1st round and outwork him to a close decision win. Take the bald flabby guy over the Super Saiyan Brazilian as our best underdog pick at UFC Fight Night Holm vs Viera!
Bet on Parker Porter to win by Decision at 13/1
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